Recency Bias Investing: Why “What’s Working Now” Is the Worst Signal You Can Follow
Between January 2016 and December 2025, U.S. mutual funds and ETFs returned 9.9% a year. The average dollar actually invested in those same funds earned…
Between January 2016 and December 2025, U.S. mutual funds and ETFs returned 9.9% a year. The average dollar actually invested in those same funds earned…
In 1985, two psychologists asked people to imagine they were an airline president who had already sunk $9 million into a plane a competitor had…
In a study of one mid-sized manufacturing company, workers who were asked to commit to saving more later raised their average savings rate from 3.5%…
In 1769, Denis Diderot was given a scarlet dressing gown. Within a year he had replaced his desk, his chair, his prints, his bookshelves, and…
Thirty-seven psychology students were asked how long their senior thesis would take. Their average estimate was 33.9 days. The average actual completion time was 55.5…
In 2001, two MIT researchers ran an auction for Boston Celtics tickets and found that bidders told to pay by credit card bid roughly twice…
In 1981, two psychologists handed 307 people a choice between two public health programs. The programs were mathematically identical. Depending on which set of sentences…
Over the ten years ending December 2024, the average dollar invested in U.S. mutual funds and ETFs earned 7.0% a year while the funds themselves…
Between 1991 and 1996, the households that traded most actively in their brokerage accounts earned 11.4% a year. The market returned 17.9% over the same…
Pull up your card statement from the last 90 days and count the online purchases you can no longer name. If the number crosses ten,…